
LOL. Krusty just happens to have a Falkland Islands map ready to go...
Everyone seems to want to make the UK forces stronger for the Falklands when they already overmatched the Argentineans. It was just poor command that let them down and one should look at some of Sandy Woodward’s ‘ideas’ for taking back the islands before Northwood gave him the script to follow. But what about making the Argentineans stronger?
Their Navy was pretty good all things considering but missed out on playing a big role because they baulked and its pretty easy to baulk in the face of nuclear submarines. Their Air Force lacked a fighter with enough range to stay and fight for Falklands airspace. Their Army had so many systematic problems where does one start.
So easiest change is have them buy something with longer legs (or at least probe and drogue IFR) than the Mirage. According to SIPRI the Argentineans brought 10 Mirage IIIEA, 2 Mirage IIIDA (trainers) and 25 R-530 AAM (useless) in 1970 for delivery in 1972-73. At this time Argentina could buy weapons from the US but they generally did not allow transfer of first line equipment to South America. But buying American means once Carter is in power you have the embargo.
So alternatives to the Mirage III could include rebuilt Vought Crusaders, new Northrop F-5As (to early for F-5Es), Lockheed F-104s, BAC Lightnings and Saab Drakens or Viggens (but would the Swedes sell?). Anything I’ve missed?
Of which the Crusader and Lightning are most likely. The Crusader is a good fit but would be crippled by the US embargo because they couldn’t turn to Israel to keep them flying (like the Skyhawk) and no additional batch could be brought (like the Dagger). The Lightning is most interesting because it’s about the exact opposite of a Sea Harrier. Additional rebuilt ex RAF Lightnings would be available in the late 70s like the Dagger and the Brits would support them right up to the invasion. Problems are lack of endurance but offset by an IFR capability. But this would require greater IFR capability to sustain (B707s) but would pay dividends for the Skyhawks as well.
The Argentinean Air Force with 50 BAC Lightning Mk 53s armed with 200 Shafrir II missiles and supported by several B707 tankers would be quite a threat in 1982. Lack of crew training and poor gun and missile reliability (thanks to poor maintenance) would hold them back but still far more lethal than the can’t refuel in mid-air Mirage and Dagger force. For the SHARs they would be able to train with full and complete knowledge of the Lightning’s performance and have much better avionics and missiles. But they would have to probably stay real low in order to counter the Lightnings. Which isn’t necessarily a bad thing.